Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.666237 0.787925 0.920145 1.073816 1.246824 1.434894 1.654097
2025-04-27 0.467080 0.632570 0.830952 1.082946 1.390968 1.751621 2.201962
2025-05-04 0.332737 0.513604 0.751313 1.078143 1.506632 2.039759 2.742679
2025-05-11 0.236337 0.415194 0.671963 1.051584 1.580982 2.274625 3.231263
2025-05-18 0.178386 0.353940 0.627124 1.057535 1.689931 2.554495 3.790658
2025-05-25 0.129994 0.292958 0.568195 1.029645 1.741999 2.754818 4.250961
2025-06-01 0.101498 0.257277 0.540417 1.041304 1.847306 3.030761 4.825557
2025-06-08 0.077518 0.222293 0.505864 1.034761 1.920415 3.260808 5.343747
2025-06-15 0.065914 0.209346 0.507720 1.087701 2.088894 3.639000 6.091723
2025-06-22 0.054024 0.191637 0.496660 1.115233 2.216213 3.959663 6.767577
2025-06-29 0.040737 0.165185 0.462352 1.094805 2.259563 4.150234 7.254358
2025-07-06 0.033085 0.150904 0.450668 1.114663 2.371822 4.453262 7.922940
2025-07-13 0.025799 0.134818 0.432606 1.121561 2.465119 4.736502 8.583391
2025-07-20 0.019989 0.120571 0.415898 1.129202 2.560705 5.029554 9.274251
2025-07-27 0.014936 0.105835 0.394379 1.123453 2.630372 5.282446 9.911607
2025-08-03 0.010465 0.089806 0.364988 1.095687 2.654721 5.458218 10.430186
2025-08-10 0.007881 0.080338 0.351456 1.101682 2.744378 5.749925 11.148296
2025-08-17 0.005320 0.067886 0.325051 1.072821 2.760872 5.912279 11.656102
2025-08-24 0.003994 0.061482 0.316005 1.084831 2.860848 6.226693 12.428156
2025-08-31 0.002788 0.053926 0.300562 1.078063 2.920304 6.469376 13.085580
2025-09-07 0.002376 0.052768 0.308112 1.132710 3.114379 6.966794 14.194907
2025-09-14 0.001841 0.049355 0.306090 1.161122 3.252986 7.366108 15.145720
2025-09-21 0.001172 0.042356 0.287216 1.140038 3.280567 7.557763 15.739967